Brinker International Is Nutrition For Your Portfolio
Here are three reasons to consider owning Brinker:
- Good earnings reports. Brinker has been able beat analyst’s expectations in four of its last five earnings reports.
- Low valuation. Brinker's price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.83 (where a PEG of 1.0 is considered fairly priced) means its stock price is cheap. It currently has a P/E of 13.8, and its earnings per share are expected to grow 16.6% to $2.14 in fiscal 2013.
- Out-earning its cost of capital. Brinker is earning more than its cost of capital – and it’s making progress. How so? It’s producing positive EVA Momentum, which measures the change in “economic value added” (essentially, after-tax operating profit after deducting capital costs) divided by sales. In 2011, Brinker's EVA momentum was 3%, based on 2010 revenue of $2.9 billion, and EVA that improved from 2010's -$32 million to 2011's $39 million, using an 11% weighted average cost of capital.
- Declining sales and profits and fair balance sheet. Brinker sales and profits have decreased. Its revenue fell at an 8.5% annual rate from $4 billion (2007) to $2.8 billion (2011) while its net income declined at a 9.6% rate from $211 million (2006) to $141 million (2010) — yielding a slim 5% net profit margin. Its debt and cash have declined. Specifically, its long term debt fallen at a 12.6% annual rate from $863 million (2007) to $503 million (2011) and its cash got smaller at a 0.9% annual rate from $85 million (2007) to $82 million (2011).
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